[Spitfire333]

As I understand it, Russia is going to recognize Crimea as its own country, and then basically just use it as a warm water port to get to the Mediterranean. Of course, they'll have to cross the Bosporus Strait to get into the Mediterranean, so Turkey and its desire for the Eurozone could potentially make things worse if its accepted into the EU and the EU tires to deny Russia access to the Bosporus. Even then, real conflict would only arise if Turkey began talks with the EU and then closed off the Bosporus, Russia goes through anyway, and a Russian ship is attacked. Even if the first two happened, I don't really think anyone is stupid or confident enough to attack a Russian ship crossing the strait. I also doubt they'd attempt to take the rest of Ukraine, as they really have nothing to gain once they have Crimea.

I'm not exceedingly well versed in this and correct me if I'm wrong, but its my understanding that the only thing that will happen is a few sanctions against Russia. No one is going to attack anyone.